Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 57.04%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eastleigh in this match.