Ecuador1 - 0Peru
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 7 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Ecuador 2-1 Peru
Ecuador usually prove to be a tough team to beat in home qualifiers, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim all three points in their meeting with a Peru team that has lost two of their three away matches in the current qualifying cycle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Peru had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ecuador.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Peru |
63.09% ( 0.08) | 22.96% ( -0.12) | 13.95% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 40.27% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.25% ( 0.46) | 56.74% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.31% ( 0.37) | 77.69% ( -0.36) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% ( 0.19) | 17.59% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.84% ( 0.34) | 48.16% ( -0.33) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.87% ( 0.34) | 51.13% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.57% ( 0.22) | 85.43% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ecuador | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 15.62% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 63.08% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 13.95% |
