Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 0-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.