MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 20:39:09| >> :120:59508:59508:
Everton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Luton Town

Everton
1 - 2
Luton

Harrison (55')
Chermiti (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mykolenko (39' og.), Woodrow (90+6')
Burke (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Everton and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Everton 2-1 Luton Town

Although Everton and Luton were forced to battle through replays in the previous round, both sides are well-rested for Saturday's clash and will fancy their chances of coming out on top in an intriguing contest at Goodison Park. Luton have already celebrated success on the blue side of Merseyside this term, but with Premier League survival ambitions placed to one side, we believe that a fired-up Everton side seeking revenge will find a way to book their place in the fifth round without needing another dreaded replay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
EvertonDrawLuton Town
36.87% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 26.36% (-0.153 -0.15) 36.77% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.509 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.27% (0.644 0.64)51.72% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.5% (0.556 0.56)73.49% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (0.26599999999999 0.27)27.16% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44% (0.346 0.35)62.56% (-0.346 -0.35)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.43299999999999 0.43)27.22% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.561 0.56)62.63% (-0.561 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Everton 36.87%
    Luton Town 36.77%
    Draw 26.35%
EvertonDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36.77%

How you voted: Everton vs Luton

Everton
62.8%
Draw
13.9%
Luton Town
23.4%
137
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Everton
1-2
Luton
Lockyer (24'), Morris (31')
Kabore (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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