Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.