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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Freiburg |
58.39% ( 0.09) | 21.31% ( -0.03) | 20.3% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.86% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.18% ( 0.03) | 39.81% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.83% ( 0.03) | 62.16% ( -0.04) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.61% ( 0.03) | 13.38% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.7% ( 0.07) | 40.29% ( -0.08) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( -0.05) | 33.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% ( -0.05) | 69.8% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 58.39% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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