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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Reading logo

Exeter
1 - 2
Reading

Niskanen (58')
Woods (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wareham (1'), Craig (36')
Mbengue (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Reading

While Reading have been the dominant side in this fixture over the years, their away record this season has been very poor, while Exeter have been in sensational form and are gunning for a fifth straight home win. We are expecting an entertaining matchup here but fancy they hosts to edge the result in a close contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawReading
49.7% (0.842 0.84) 24.37% (-0.12 -0.12) 25.93% (-0.725 -0.72)
Both teams to score 54.71% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)47.33% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)69.55% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.327 0.33)19.08% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (0.544 0.54)50.69% (-0.548 -0.55)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.59299999999999 -0.59)32.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (-0.671 -0.67)68.9% (0.667 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 49.7%
    Reading 25.93%
    Draw 24.37%
Exeter CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Reading

Exeter City
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Reading
3-2
Exeter
Knibbs (9'), Hartridge (45+2' og.), Azeez (77')
Craig (42'), Dorsett (81')
Jules (18'), Rankine (68')
Sep 19, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
0-9
Reading

Stanford Neubronner Daniels (49')
McIntyre (3'), Jules (32' og.), Mukairu (56', 60'), Ballard (67', 90+6'), Elliott (79'), Harris (85'), Vickers (90')
McIntyre (47')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
2-1
Reading
Aimson (34'), Cole (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Jules (44'), Cole (90+3')
Knibbs (45+3')
Azeez (24'), Mbengue (36'), Carson (56'), Abby (89')
Jul 15, 2014 9.20pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
0-1
Reading
Edwards (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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