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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
57.47% ( -0.1) | 21.94% ( 0.02) | 20.59% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% ( -0.01) | 42.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.3% ( -0.01) | 64.7% ( 0.01) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.52% ( -0.03) | 14.48% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.53% ( -0.07) | 42.47% ( 0.07) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% ( 0.07) | 34.34% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% ( 0.08) | 71.04% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 57.47% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 20.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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