Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 1-0 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cittadella in this match.