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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 84.93%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 4.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Heracles |
84.93% ( -0.24) | 10.09% ( 0.21) | 4.98% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.16% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.32% ( -1.02) | 26.68% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.92% ( -1.31) | 47.08% ( 1.31) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.65% ( -0.21) | 4.35% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82% ( -0.67) | 18% ( 0.67) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.3% ( -0.74) | 50.7% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.87% ( -0.5) | 85.13% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Heracles |
3-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.35) 4-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.14) 6-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.11) 7-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.43% Total : 84.93% | 1-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.68% Total : 10.09% | 1-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.88% Total : 4.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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