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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading |
33.21% ( -0.71) | 24.8% ( -0.52) | 41.98% ( 1.24) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( 1.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.65% ( 2.18) | 45.35% ( -2.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.31% ( 2.05) | 67.69% ( -2.04) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.71% ( 0.62) | 26.29% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.58% ( 0.81) | 61.42% ( -0.81) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.38% ( 1.54) | 21.62% ( -1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.27% ( 2.31) | 54.73% ( -2.31) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading |
2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 39 |
2 | Wrexham | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 37 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
6 | Reading | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
14 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
18 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
19 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
21 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |