Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Altrincham |
25.1% ( -0.05) | 26.12% ( -0.02) | 48.77% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.03% ( 0.02) | 54.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.75% ( 0.01) | 76.24% ( -0.01) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% ( -0.04) | 37.21% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% ( -0.04) | 74% ( 0.04) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% ( 0.03) | 22.57% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.83% ( 0.05) | 56.16% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.1% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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