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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.86%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.8% and a draw had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (4.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.8% ( 0.13) | 18.34% ( 0.02) | 62.86% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 66.46% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.38% ( 0.14) | 27.62% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.73% ( 0.17) | 48.26% ( -0.18) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% ( 0.21) | 27.31% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.24% ( 0.27) | 62.76% ( -0.27) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.44% ( 0.01) | 8.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.39% ( 0.02) | 29.61% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.29% Total : 18.8% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.48% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.83% Total : 62.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |