Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 10.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Oxford City |
74.22% ( -0.22) | 15.09% ( 0.11) | 10.69% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.84% ( -0.26) | 30.16% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.62% ( -0.31) | 51.38% ( 0.31) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.09% ( -0.1) | 6.91% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.63% ( -0.27) | 25.36% ( 0.27) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% ( 0) | 39.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% ( 0) | 76.01% |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Oxford City |
2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.1% Total : 74.22% | 1-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.09% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 10.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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