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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Atletico Madrid logo

Granada
0 - 1
Atletico


Boye (75'), Batalla (90+5'), Medina (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (54')
Niguez (72'), Savic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Granada and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-0 Granada
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Granada 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Granada's best performances have come at home this season, while Atletico have not been too impressive on their travels. Granada will also be the fresher of the two sides, but we are still expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to an important three points in Monday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
29.19% (0.78 0.78) 24.93% (0.18 0.18) 45.87% (-0.963 -0.96)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (-0.343 -0.34)47.58% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (-0.317 -0.32)69.79% (0.316 0.32)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.384 0.38)30.04% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.46100000000001 0.46)66.17% (-0.46300000000001 -0.46)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)20.79% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)53.44% (0.88 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Granada 29.19%
    Atletico Madrid 45.87%
    Draw 24.92%
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.185 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.87%

How you voted: Granada vs Atletico

Granada
9.0%
Draw
8.3%
Atletico Madrid
82.7%
133
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Atletico
3-1
Granada
Morata (45+4'), Depay (67'), Llorente (90+8')
Hermoso (39'), Morata (42'), Azpilicueta (90+4')
Omorodion Aghehowa (62')
Gumbau (10'), Lopez (45+7')
Apr 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
0-0
Granada
Mandava (29'), Savic (45+4'), De Paul (78'), Vrsaljko (85')
Quini (3'), Escudero (58'), Diaz (74'), Puertas (83'), Duarte (90+2')
Dec 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Granada
2-1
Atletico
Machis (17'), Molina (61')
Maximiano (66'), Ruiz (69'), Monchu (86'), Torrente (90+5')
Felix (2')
De Paul (7')
Feb 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Granada
1-2
Atletico
Herrera (66')
Llorente (63'), Correa (75')
Suarez (39'), Niguez (43'), Savic (77'), Koke (88'), Carrasco (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Atletico
6-1
Granada
Costa (9'), Correa (47'), Felix (65'), Llorente (72'), Suarez (85', 90+3')
Felix (27'), Niguez (59'), Partey (74')
Molina (87')
Duarte (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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