Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
29.19% ( 0.78) | 24.93% ( 0.18) | 45.87% ( -0.96) |
Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% ( -0.34) | 47.58% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% ( -0.32) | 69.79% ( 0.32) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( 0.38) | 30.04% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.83% ( 0.46) | 66.17% ( -0.46) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% ( -0.56) | 20.79% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.56% ( -0.88) | 53.44% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |