Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio2 - 3Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Criciuma 0-1 Gremio
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Gremio | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
30.11% ( -0.28) | 28.54% ( 0) | 41.35% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 45.08% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.92% ( -0.1) | 61.07% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.95% ( -0.07) | 81.05% ( 0.07) |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.56% ( -0.27) | 36.44% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.77% ( -0.27) | 73.22% ( 0.27) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.92% ( 0.11) | 29.08% ( -0.1) |