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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Ipswich
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Luongo (30')
Luongo (49'), Travis (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Latte Lath (20')
Howson (57'), Ayling (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 Watford
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Middlesbrough

With Middlesbrough having put together a prolonged unbeaten run, they will fancy their chances of getting the better of a team under increasing pressure. However, we are backing the home side to get back on track in what could turn into a scrappy contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMiddlesbrough
55.35% (-0.292 -0.29) 20.59% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 24.06% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 66.1% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)31.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)52.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)11.55% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (-0.179 -0.18)36.48% (0.182 0.18)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.17399999999999 0.17)25.26% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.238 0.24)60.02% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 55.35%
    Middlesbrough 24.06%
    Draw 20.59%
Ipswich TownDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 55.35%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.02% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Middlesbrough

Ipswich Town
80.8%
Draw
11.5%
Middlesbrough
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Middlesbrough
0-2
Ipswich

Crooks (51')
Chaplin (36'), Hutchinson (67')
Woolfenden (63'), Morsy (90+5'), Ball (90')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Middlesbrough
2-0
Ipswich
Hugill (37' pen.), Tavernier (72')
Tavernier (65')

Chalobah (19'), Downes (40')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ipswich
0-2
Middlesbrough
Besic (12'), Downing (16')
May 6, 2018 12.30pm
Ipswich
2-2
Middlesbrough
Sears (8'), Waghorn (83' pen.)
Skuse (12'), Nydam (45'), Sears (45')
Downing (71'), Bamford (90')
Gibson (90')
Dec 9, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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