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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
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Leeds
1 - 0
Stoke

James (33')
Gruev (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Stoke City

 Stoke's offensive forces are rarely kept out on enemy territory, but shutting up shop at the other end of the pitch is where the Potters' problems lie away from home, and such vulnerabilities will surely be exposed by the Championship's best home team. Fatigue may be starting to set in for Farke's overworked troops, but the Whites boss can adjust his attacking setup with some formidable options and ought to oversee a seventh straight league win at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
61.09% (0.394 0.39) 20.65% (0.061 0.06) 18.26% (-0.453 -0.45)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-1.098 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (-1.032 -1.03)39.91% (1.034 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72% (-1.078 -1.08)62.27% (1.081 1.08)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (-0.208 -0.21)12.62% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.25% (-0.433 -0.43)38.74% (0.435 0.44)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-1.098 -1.1)35.36% (1.102 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-1.162 -1.16)72.12% (1.164 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 61.09%
    Stoke City 18.26%
    Draw 20.65%
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.303 0.3)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.365 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Leeds vs Stoke

Leeds United
86.7%
Draw
6.3%
Stoke City
7.0%
143
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
> Match Report
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
 Stoke win 5-4 on penalties
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
> Match Report
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-3
Leeds
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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