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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
50.26% ( -0.05) | 25.17% ( 0.03) | 24.57% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.26% ( -0.1) | 51.74% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( -0.09) | 73.51% ( 0.09) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.4% ( -0.06) | 20.6% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.85% ( -0.09) | 53.14% ( 0.09) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% ( -0.04) | 35.91% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.31% ( -0.04) | 72.69% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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