Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 1-3 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Leicester City Women win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.