Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.