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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Luton
0 - 1
Norwich


Nelson (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nunez (73')
Doyle (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Luton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 QPR
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Norwich City

Considering Norwich created numerous opportunities in the final third against QPR, they should be confident of at least regularly threatening Luton's goal. However, the visitors' away record is alarming while the hosts' form at home is impressive, and it would not be surprising if Luton narrowly defeated the Canaries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
45.82% (0.524 0.52) 25.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 28.91% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 54.1% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.196 -0.2)49.22% (0.19900000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.179 -0.18)71.28% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (0.152 0.15)21.49% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (0.235 0.23)54.53% (-0.234 -0.23)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.46799999999999 -0.47)31.09% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)67.41% (0.551 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 45.81%
    Norwich City 28.91%
    Draw 25.28%
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.81%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Luton vs Norwich

Luton Town
68.5%
Draw
16.9%
Norwich City
14.6%
89
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
4-2
Luton
Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')
Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')
Dec 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Norwich
Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Pukki (69')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Norwich
0-1
Luton
Morris (62')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Norwich
3-0
Luton
Pukki (12', 43'), Cantwell (73')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd25156434161849
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough25117742311140
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom25912431201139
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2411672822639
8Watford2411493434037
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2510693638-236
10Bristol City2581073230234
11Norwich CityNorwich258984136533
12Swansea CitySwansea2596102929033
13Millwall247892221129
14Coventry CityCoventry2578103335-229
15Preston North EndPreston2561182733-629
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Derby CountyDerby2576123134-327
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2476112739-1227
19Stoke CityStoke2568112432-826
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2557132233-1122
23Cardiff CityCardiff2457122439-1522
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2447132453-2919


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