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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Luton
2 - 1
Stoke

Morris (24'), Adebayo (90')
Chong (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cannon (6')
Burger (85'), Koumas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 7 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Stoke City

Neither side is having a strong season so far, with both struggling in recent weeks, but with Luton having the home advantage, where they have lost just one of their last eight matches, we expect a victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawStoke City
42.68% (0.562 0.56) 25.91% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 31.41% (-0.636 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.495 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (-0.527 -0.53)50.76% (0.528 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.466 -0.47)72.66% (0.467 0.47)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (0.067 0.07)57.7% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (-0.69 -0.69)30.12% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (-0.837 -0.84)66.26% (0.83799999999999 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.68%
    Stoke City 31.41%
    Draw 25.9%
Luton TownDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.68%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Stoke

Luton Town
70.4%
Draw
11.1%
Stoke City
18.5%
54
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
1-0
Stoke
Ruddock (6')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-0
Luton
Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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