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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Luton
2 - 1
Stoke

Morris (24'), Adebayo (90')
Chong (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cannon (6')
Burger (85'), Koumas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 7 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Stoke City

Neither side is having a strong season so far, with both struggling in recent weeks, but with Luton having the home advantage, where they have lost just one of their last eight matches, we expect a victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawStoke City
42.68% (0.562 0.56) 25.91% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 31.41% (-0.636 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.495 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (-0.527 -0.53)50.76% (0.528 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.466 -0.47)72.66% (0.467 0.47)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (0.067 0.07)57.7% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (-0.69 -0.69)30.12% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (-0.837 -0.84)66.26% (0.83799999999999 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.68%
    Stoke City 31.41%
    Draw 25.9%
Luton TownDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.68%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Stoke

Luton Town
70.4%
Draw
11.1%
Stoke City
18.5%
54
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
1-0
Stoke
Ruddock (6')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-0
Luton
Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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