Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz2 - 1Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz
Sunday, December 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, December 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-5 Bayern
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Mainz 05 1-3 Bayern Munich
Bayern have been rampant in front of goal all season, and it is plausible that they could score multiple times on Saturday. However, given the injuries in defence and to Neuer, Mainz will likely have opportunities of their own, and they may at least prevent the visitors from keeping a clean sheet. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-3 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13.87% ( 0.63) | 16.59% ( 0.24) | 69.53% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 61.38% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.38) | 28.95% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.08% ( 0.47) | 49.92% ( -0.47) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( 1.12) | 33.62% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.73% ( 1.2) | 70.26% ( -1.21) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.46% ( -0.08) | 7.53% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.99% ( -0.2) | 27.01% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 13.87%
Bayern Munich 69.53%
Draw 16.59%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.48% Total : 13.87% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.59% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 7.96% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.26)0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 5.14% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4.72% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 2.44% ( -0.11)2-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.27% Total : 69.53% |
How you voted: Mainz vs Bayern
Mainz 05
17.5%Draw
6.8%Bayern Munich
75.7%103
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
