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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Montpellier
Nantes
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Toulouse

Metz
0 - 1
Toulouse


Jean Jacques (18'), Boloni (19'), Sabaly (20'), N'Doram (37')
Herelle (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sierro (12' pen.)
Dallinga (40'), Kamanzi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-1 Clermont (1-3 pen.)
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Chambery 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Metz 2-1 Toulouse

 Metz have struggled massively in recent matches, but the return of goalscorer Chakvetadze could give them the boost required to earn a rare three points. Toulouse are without a number of their key players due to injuries and AFCON, meaning we cannot imagine Les Violets getting a result on their travels in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawToulouse
38.49% (0.261 0.26) 26.76% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 34.75% (-0.304 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51% (-0.211 -0.21)53.49% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99% (-0.178 -0.18)75.01% (0.18100000000001 0.18)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.048000000000002 0.05)27.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.061999999999998 0.06)62.44% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)29.29% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.361 -0.36)65.25% (0.363 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Metz 38.48%
    Toulouse 34.75%
    Draw 26.76%
MetzDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Metz vs Toulouse

Metz
36.8%
Draw
39.5%
Toulouse
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Toulouse
3-0
Metz
Schmidt (31'), Dallinga (43'), Magri (82')
Nicolaisen (13'), Suazo (63'), Sierro (75')
> Preview
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 29
Toulouse
P-P
Metz
Sep 28, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 8
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Diallo (4'), Niane (91' pen.)
Delaine (11')
Said (86'), Koulouris (95')
Gradel (95')
Mar 3, 2018 7pm
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
Roux (32')
Palmieri (42')
Amian (84')
Jean (18'), Moubandje (44'), Toivonen (87'), Durmaz (90')
Nov 18, 2017 7pm
Toulouse
0-0
Metz
Blin (39'), Amian Adou (72')
Niakhate (16'), Dossevi (41'), Roux (51')
Diagne (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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