MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 22:56:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Luton Town

Middlesbrough
5 - 1
Luton

Burgzorg (30', 54'), Latte Lath (43'), Azaz (51', 87')
Burgzorg (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clark (77')
Baptiste (15'), Hashioka (49'), Clark (62'), Morris (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Luton Town

With Boro having finally hit the goal trail in midweek, they will be confident on building on that performance. However, Luton may have finally turned the corner, leading us to predict a hard-fought draw for the Hatters this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
56.15% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 22.67% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 21.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.073 0.07)44.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.071000000000005 0.07)67.16% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (0.037999999999997 0.04)15.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09% (0.07 0.07)44.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)35.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.026 0.03)71.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.14%
    Luton Town 21.18%
    Draw 22.67%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.18%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Luton

Middlesbrough
75.7%
Draw
13.5%
Luton Town
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 44
Luton
2-1
Middlesbrough
Lockyer (49'), Morris (67' pen.)
Archer (40')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
Akpom (38'), Crooks (90+1')
Clark (33')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Luton
1-1
Middlesbrough
Rea (19')
Rea (75')
Watmore (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!