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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Sheff Weds

Ihiekwe (41' og.), Jones (73')
Greenwood (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vaulks (33'), Beadle (40'), Famewo (79'), Iorfa (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Despite the difference in league positions, this has the makings of being a hard-fought contest. We fancy Wednesday to be competitive throughout, perhaps even leading at one stage, but Boro are playing with the kind of confidence that suggests that they could prevail through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
60.95% (0.139 0.14) 21.68% (-0.044 -0.04) 17.37% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.029999999999994 0.03)46.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (0.028000000000002 0.03)68.32% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (0.053000000000011 0.05)14.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (0.103 0.1)42.72% (-0.105 -0.1)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)40.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)76.66% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 60.94%
    Sheffield Wednesday 17.37%
    Draw 21.68%
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.68%
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.37%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sheff Weds

Middlesbrough
82.8%
Draw
6.9%
Sheffield Wednesday
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sheff Weds
1-1
Middlesbrough
Musaba (38')
Windass (31'), Byers (86')
Lenihan (53')
Jones (48')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-1
Sheff Weds
Bolasie (20'), Coburn (73'), Watmore (81')
McNair (27')
Windass (39' pen.)
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Sheff Weds
2-1
Middlesbrough
Paterson (30'), Shaw (40')
Bannan (45+3'), Palmer (88')
Watmore (49')
Saville (42'), Morsy (45+3')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Middlesbrough
1-4
Sheff Weds
McNair (19')
Clayton (5' og.), Iorfa (6'), Reach (23'), Fletcher (34')
Bannan (72'), Nuhiu (76'), Luongo (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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