Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Arena Lublin
Motor Lublin3 - 4Widzew Lodz
Ceglarz (1'), Rudol (14'), Welniak (86')
Serge Simon (39')
Serge Simon (39')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Mraz (22' og.), Rondic (24', 42'), Alvarez (56')
Sypek (48'), Shehu (90'), Rondic (90+7')
Sypek (48'), Shehu (90'), Rondic (90+7')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Widzew Lodz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, October 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-1 Korona Kielce
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.
Result | ||
Motor Lublin | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
35.31% ( 0.27) | 25.56% ( 0.02) | 39.12% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 55.62% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.65% ( -0.05) | 48.35% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.5% ( -0.05) | 70.49% ( 0.05) |
Motor Lublin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.52% ( 0.13) | 26.47% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.34% ( 0.17) | 61.65% ( -0.18) |
Widzew Lodz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( -0.17) | 24.35% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% ( -0.25) | 58.75% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Motor Lublin 35.31%
Widzew Lodz 39.12%
Draw 25.56%
Motor Lublin | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.31% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.12% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-24 10:43:53
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lech Poznan | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 36 |
3 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 35 |
4 | Legia WarsawLegia | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 32 |
5 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 30 |
7 | Motor Lublin | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 28 |
8 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 27 |
9 | Widzew Lodz | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Katowice | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
12 | Radomiak Radom | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Stal Mielec | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Zaglebie Lubin | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
15 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
17 | Lechia GdanskGdansk | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
18 | Slask Wroclaw | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 10 |
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