Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nacional Potosi in this match.