Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Brest |
39.2% ( 0.35) | 26.91% ( -0.14) | 33.88% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.79% ( 0.53) | 54.21% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.38% ( 0.44) | 75.61% ( -0.44) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 0.45) | 27% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% ( 0.58) | 62.35% ( -0.59) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( 0.13) | 30.19% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.65% ( 0.15) | 66.35% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |