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Champions League header

Champions League
Napoli logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Barcelona logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Barcelona

Osimhen (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lewandowski (60')
de Jong (16'), Martinez (76'), Christensen (78')

The Match

Match Report

Victor Osimhen cancels out an opener from Robert Lewandowski as Napoli draw 1-1 with Barcelona in the first leg of their last-16 Champions League clash in Naples.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Napoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Genoa
Saturday, February 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawBarcelona
39.84% (0.182 0.18) 23.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.24% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 61.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.45% (0.032000000000004 0.03)40.55% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (0.031000000000006 0.03)62.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (0.099000000000004 0.1)20.57% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (0.156 0.16)53.09% (-0.153 -0.15)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)22.35% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.112 -0.11)55.83% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 39.84%
    Barcelona 36.24%
    Draw 23.92%
NapoliDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.24%

How you voted: Napoli vs Barcelona

Napoli
25.8%
Draw
19.5%
Barcelona
54.7%
528
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