Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.