MX23RW : Thursday, January 2 11:57:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Morecambe

Newport
5 - 3
Morecambe

Wildig (12', 54'), Lewis (18'), Charsley (78'), Palmer-Houlden (90+7')
Wildig (33'), Evans (40'), Jameson (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Edwards (31', 74'), Stokes (70')
Tutonda (23')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
43.72% (-0.321 -0.32) 24.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 31.89% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)43.87% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)66.25% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-0.16 -0.16)20.2% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (-0.257 -0.26)52.51% (0.254 0.25)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.15600000000001 0.16)26.39% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (0.211 0.21)61.54% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 43.72%
    Morecambe 31.89%
    Draw 24.37%
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-2
Newport
Mellon (12')
Major (90+6')
Evans (28'), Palmer-Houlden (57')
Bennett (85')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Morecambe
1-0
Newport
Wildig (68')
Wootton (12')
May 31, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-3
Newport
Songo'o (20')
Lavelle (38')
Dolan (8' pen.), Sheehan (45+1'), Ellison (79')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
2-1
Morecambe
Amond (11'), Dolan (83' pen.)
Mendes Gomes (32')
Davis (30'), Hendrie (34'), Phillips (68')
Hendrie (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2411763428640
3Salford City2311662819939
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe2310942921839
5Port Vale2410862724338
6AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
7Notts County23107636261037
8Grimsby Town24121113537-237
9Bradford CityBradford239863026435
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2210483630634
12Bromley2271053126531
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2293102221130
15BarrowBarrow237792324-128
16Colchester UnitedColchester2351262826227
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Swindon TownSwindon2459103139-824
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257103040-1022
21Tranmere RoversTranmere2257101632-1622
22Harrogate TownHarrogate2464141937-1822
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2346131937-1818


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