MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 12:33:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
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Norwich
1 - 1
Southampton

Sargent (78')
Stacey (23'), McCallum (27'), Sara (54'), Hernandez (87'), McLean (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Southampton

 This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and we are expecting it to be an entertaining contest. Southampton will go in search of a fifth straight Championship win, but Norwich have been strong at home this season, and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
43.98% (-0.269 -0.27) 23.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 32.24% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 61.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)18.86% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.183 -0.18)50.33% (0.185 0.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.155 0.16)24.72% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (0.214 0.21)59.26% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.98%
    Southampton 32.24%
    Draw 23.77%
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.24%

How you voted: Norwich vs Southampton

Norwich City
32.6%
Draw
18.6%
Southampton
48.8%
43
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Southampton
4-4
Norwich
Bednarek (17'), Armstrong (21' pen., 90+7' pen.), Adams (57')
Smallbone (40'), Edozie (45+1'), Tella (50'), Stephens (60'), Adams (76'), Charles (76'), Bednarek (77')
Sargent (7'), Sara (23'), Rowe (45+2'), Fassnacht (84')
McLean (1'), Springett (77'), Stacey (90+1'), Nunez (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Southampton
2-0
Norwich
Adams (36'), Romeu (88')
Salisu (39')

Pukki (59'), Williams (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-1
Southampton
Pukki (7'), Hanley (79')
Williams (64'), Krul (90+3'), Normann (90+4')
Adams (4')
Bednarek (64'), Walker-Peters (71')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 30
Norwich
0-3
Southampton
> Match Report
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Southampton
2-1
Norwich
> Match Report
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Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116
> Championship Full Table


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