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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
MK Dons

Notts County
3 - 3
MK Dons

Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 5-0 Walsall
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 MK Dons

 Defensively, Notts County have struggled to hold it together throughout the year, and they are catching MK Dons at a bad time, with the visitors fresh off an emphatic victory last week, while the Dons have the added motivation of being in the thick of the race for a spot in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
39.33% (0.25700000000001 0.26) 22.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 38.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 67.47% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.89% (0.17399999999999 0.17)33.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.15% (0.201 0.2)54.85% (-0.202 -0.2)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (0.185 0.19)17.61% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.32 0.32)48.2% (-0.32 -0.32)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)18.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)49.05% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 39.33%
    MK Dons 38.19%
    Draw 22.47%
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.32% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.19%

How you voted: Notts County vs MK Dons

Notts County
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
MK Dons
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
MK Dons
1-1
Notts County
Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
Cameron (66')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Barclay (94')
Mackail-Smith (73')
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Notts County
Baker (63'), Baker (74'), Grigg (84', 93')
Randall (90')
Whitehouse (79')
Whitehouse (51'), Smith (57'), Spencer (97')
Dec 26, 2014 3pm
Notts County
0-1
MK Dons

McLaughlin (68')
Powell (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2411763428640
3Salford City2311662819939
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe2310942921839
5Port Vale2410862724338
6AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
7Notts County23107636261037
8Grimsby Town24121113537-237
9Bradford CityBradford239863026435
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2210483630634
12Bromley2271053126531
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2293102221130
15BarrowBarrow237792324-128
16Colchester UnitedColchester2351262826227
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Swindon TownSwindon2459103139-824
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257103040-1022
21Tranmere RoversTranmere2257101632-1622
22Harrogate TownHarrogate2464141937-1822
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2346131937-1818
> League Two Full Table


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