Friendlies 1
Mar 27, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Peru4 - 1Dominican Rep.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Peru 2-0 Nicaragua
Saturday, March 23 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Saturday, March 23 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
International Friendlies
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 0-0 Aruba
Saturday, March 23 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, March 23 at 10pm in International Friendlies
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Peru 4-0 Dominican Republic
While the Peruvians are not the most potent attacking side in CONMEBOL, we expect them to have their share of openings against a Caribbean team that have little experience playing against sides from outside their region. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Dominican Republic |
40.13% ( -0.6) | 28.18% ( 0.21) | 31.69% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
