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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
41.77% | 24.03% | 34.2% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 60.82% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5% ( 0) | 41.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.1% ( 0) | 63.9% ( 0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( 0) | 20.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.67% ( 0) | 52.33% ( 0) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( 0) | 23.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( 0) | 58.09% |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.02% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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