Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.61%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
80.96% ( 0.28) | 12.71% ( -0.2) | 6.33% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 44.33% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.39% ( 0.72) | 34.61% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.44% ( 0.8) | 56.56% ( -0.8) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% ( 0.21) | 6.56% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.56% ( 0.56) | 24.44% ( -0.55) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.45% ( 0.3) | 52.55% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.64% ( 0.2) | 86.36% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.12% Total : 80.95% | 1-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 12.71% | 0-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 6.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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