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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Sunderland

Rotherham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Clucas (48')
Nombe (65'), Cafu (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (73')
Bellingham (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 0-1 Sunderland

Rotherham rode their luck and then some against Middlesbrough, although credit where credit is due to the Millers' defensive diligence, and Sunderland did not exactly blow Hull away either. Another cruel injury blow to Dack was not on the Black Cats' bingo card either, and a goal-laden affair should be the last thing on the menu at the New York Stadium, but we still expect Beale to march to his second successive win and give Rotherham a harsh reality check. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
16.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 21.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 62.14% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 16.71%
    Sunderland 62.14%
    Draw 21.14%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 16.71%
1-1 @ 10.03%
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.14%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 62.14%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Sunderland

Rotherham United
15.2%
Draw
12.1%
Sunderland
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sunderland
2-1
Rotherham
Bellingham (22', 52')
Cirkin (10'), Bellingham (69')
Odofin (20')
Bramall (33')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Sunderland
3-0
Rotherham
Stewart (52', 65'), Clarke (70')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Sunderland
1-1
Rotherham
Ihiekwe (88' og.)
Matete (8')
Ihiekwe (17')
Rathbone (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Rotherham
5-1
Sunderland
Smith (10', 73'), Ladapo (41', 88'), Ihiekwe (53')
Smith (71')
Stewart (24')
O'Nien (38'), McGeady (46'), Evans (64')
McGeady (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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