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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Sassuolo logo

Salernitana
2 - 2
Sassuolo

Candreva (52' pen.), Maggiore (90+1')
Pierozzi (26'), Maggiore (62'), Pirola (72'), Vignato (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lauriente (37'), Bajrami (44')
Lauriente (67'), Kumbulla (82'), Racic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Salernitana
Monday, April 1 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Udinese
Monday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 1-2 Sassuolo

The visitors are certainly far from their best, and have been throughout the entirety of the Serie A campaign thus far, but even without their talisman Berardi, Sassuolo do have the superior quality to get past the basement side on Friday and take a huge step towards survival with a return to winning ways on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawSassuolo
32.74% (0.71 0.71) 24.71% (0.248 0.25) 42.56% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 57.94% (-0.578 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94% (-0.878 -0.88)45.07% (0.885 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)67.41% (0.854 0.85)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.015999999999998 0.02)61.62% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.797 -0.8)21.23% (0.803 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (-1.255 -1.26)54.13% (1.26 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.74%
    Sassuolo 42.56%
    Draw 24.71%
SalernitanaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.108 0.11)
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.282 0.28)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.21 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.118 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.56%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Sassuolo

Salernitana
10.7%
Draw
25.6%
Sassuolo
63.6%
121
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sassuolo
2-2
Salernitana
Thorstvedt (36', 52')
Toljan (71'), Thorstvedt (80')
Ikwuemesi (5'), Dia (17')
Ikwuemesi (45')
Apr 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Salernitana
3-0
Sassuolo
Pirola (9'), Dia (20'), Coulibaly (65')
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Sassuolo
5-0
Salernitana
Lauriente (12'), Pinamonti (39' pen.), Thorstvedt (53'), Harroui (76'), Antiste (90+1')
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Salernitana
2-2
Sassuolo
Bonazzoli (8'), Djuric (81')
Ruggeri (62'), Ranieri (80')
Scamacca (20'), Traore (30')
Berardi (13'), Raspadori (57'), Lopez (90')
Raspadori (59')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Sassuolo
1-0
Salernitana
Berardi (54')
Lopez (15'), Marco Ferrari (31'), Scamacca (87')

Ranieri (30'), Gondo (36'), Bonazzoli (90')
rhs 2.0
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