Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Sassuolo |
32.74% ( 0.71) | 24.71% ( 0.25) | 42.56% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 57.94% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.94% ( -0.88) | 45.07% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.59% ( -0.85) | 67.41% ( 0.85) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% ( 0.02) | 26.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.38% ( 0.02) | 61.62% ( -0.01) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.77% ( -0.8) | 21.23% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.87% ( -1.26) | 54.13% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |