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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
54.42% ( -0.25) | 22.63% ( 0.11) | 22.95% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.47% ( -0.32) | 42.53% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( -0.32) | 64.93% ( 0.32) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( -0.19) | 15.56% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.48% ( -0.37) | 44.52% ( 0.37) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% ( -0.05) | 32.28% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% ( -0.05) | 68.78% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.42% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 22.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 31 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 29 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |