Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
Oct 18, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Sarmiento1 - 1Gimnasia
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Gimnasia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Huracan 3-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, October 5 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, October 5 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Godoy Cruz
Saturday, October 5 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, October 5 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
35
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | Gimnasia |
31.22% ( -1.76) | 30.82% ( 0.07) | 37.96% ( 1.7) |
Both teams to score 39.65% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.15% ( -0.38) | 67.85% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.17% ( -0.25) | 85.83% ( 0.26) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.64% ( -1.54) | 39.36% ( 1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.94% ( -1.47) | 76.06% ( 1.47) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.39% ( 0.91) | 34.62% ( -0.91) |