Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.