Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
32.35% ( 0.06) | 26.55% ( -0.01) | 41.11% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.93% ( 0.08) | 53.08% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.34% ( 0.06) | 74.66% ( -0.06) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.36% ( 0.07) | 30.64% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.11% ( 0.09) | 66.89% ( -0.09) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( 0.01) | 25.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.72% ( 0.02) | 60.28% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.35% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 55 | 7 | 48 | 53 |
2 | RangersRangers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 30 |
6 | St Mirren | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 26 |
8 | Dundee | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 25 |
9 | Ross County | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 24 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |