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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Thompson (70')
Gooch (90+3'), Wilmot (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stansfield (10'), Bacuna (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke will be of confident of doing the double over Birmingham after dominating the reverse fixture last month, but Blues should be a much sterner test with Mowbray at the helm. The visitors have been notoriously poor on their Championship travels this term, but we are backing them to force a share of the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
44.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.46% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.22% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.16% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)23.98% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)33.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4%70.6%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.97%
    Birmingham City 28.56%
    Draw 26.45%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
52.0%
Draw
20.0%
Birmingham City
28.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Birmingham
1-3
Stoke
Stansfield (69')
Miyoshi (12'), Bacuna (33')
Thompson (12'), Gooch (31'), Vidigal (53')
Vidigal (34'), Tchamadeu (51'), Bae (83')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
1-2
Birmingham
Baker (75' pen.)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stoke
2-2
Birmingham
Campbell (25', 52')
James (12'), Gardner (58')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
0-0
Stoke
Hogan (49')
Clucas (57'), Powell (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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