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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Sutton United
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Maidenhead United

Sutton
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Barbrook (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Sutton United and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Maidenhead United

With neither side in good form, we expect this contest to develop into somewhat of a battle of attrition. Nevertheless, Sutton still possess the greater quality in their squad, and that may come to the fore during the latter stages if the visitors have a chance of earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
39.27% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 24.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.88% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)45.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.049000000000007 0.05)22.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (0.067 0.07)56.78% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.84% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.44% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.27%
    Maidenhead United 35.79%
    Draw 24.94%
Sutton UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.79%

Head to Head
May 15, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 54
Maidenhead
0-3
Sutton

Ofori-Twumasi (46'), Massey (70')
Ajiboye (65'), Olaofe (79'), John (90+3')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Sutton
3-0
Maidenhead
Bugiel (17'), Eastmond (35'), Callum (83')
Dundas (76')
Apr 25, 2020 5.20pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sutton
0-3
Maidenhead

Davis (8')
Bugiel (82')
S (61'), Whitehall (79', 90+5')
Cassidy (8'), Steer (71'), Cassidy (75')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379


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