We said: Sutton United 2-1 Maidenhead United
With neither side in good form, we expect this contest to develop into somewhat of a battle of attrition. Nevertheless, Sutton still possess the greater quality in their squad, and that may come to the fore during the latter stages if the visitors have a chance of earning a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.