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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Norwich City |
53.82% ( 0.1) | 23.45% ( -0.05) | 22.72% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.6% ( 0.16) | 46.4% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.32% ( 0.15) | 68.68% ( -0.15) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.84% ( 0.1) | 17.16% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.59% ( 0.17) | 47.41% ( -0.17) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.37% ( 0.04) | 34.63% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.65% ( 0.05) | 71.35% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 53.82% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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