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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Norwich

Forson (4' og.)
Darling (53'), Key (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nunez (45+1'), McLean (48'), Duffy (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Norwich City

Having surprised Coventry last time out, Norwich are arguably the favourites for this contest. However, with Swansea unbeaten at their home ground, we are backing them to earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
53.82% (0.1 0.1) 23.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 22.72% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.15% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.6% (0.161 0.16)46.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (0.151 0.15)68.68% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.095999999999989 0.1)17.16% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59% (0.168 0.17)47.41% (-0.167 -0.17)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.043999999999997 0.04)34.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.35% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 53.82%
    Norwich City 22.72%
    Draw 23.45%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 53.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
34.6%
Draw
30.8%
Norwich City
34.6%
52
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Norwich
2-2
Swansea
Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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