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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
47.73% ( 0.1) | 24.92% ( -0.05) | 27.35% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.37% ( 0.17) | 48.63% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.25% ( 0.16) | 70.75% ( -0.16) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.59% ( 0.11) | 20.41% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.15% ( 0.18) | 52.85% ( -0.18) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% ( 0.05) | 31.95% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( 0.05) | 68.4% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
3 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
11 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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