Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Slovakia
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-0 Estonia
Saturday, November 16 at 2pm in Nations League
Saturday, November 16 at 2pm in Nations League
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Sweden 3-0 Azerbaijan
Neither side has much to play for, so a straightforward Sweden win should be expected against opponents that have leaked lots of goals so far. The hosts will sign off their brief stay in League C with a celebratory win, while Azerbaijan are surely bound for the Nations League's lowest tier. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 82.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 5.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.52%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Azerbaijan |
82.47% ( -0.04) | 11.69% ( 0.03) | 5.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.7% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.66% ( -0.09) | 31.33% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.21% ( -0.11) | 52.78% ( 0.11) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.37% ( -0.03) | 5.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.07) | 21.8% ( 0.07) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.42% ( -0.04) | 51.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.27% ( -0.03) | 85.72% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Sweden 82.46%
Azerbaijan 5.84%
Draw 11.69%
| Sweden | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 82.46% | 1-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.69% | 0-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 5.84% |
How you voted: Sweden vs Azerbaijan
Sweden
83.1%Draw
8.9%Azerbaijan
8.1%124
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
3-0
Sweden
Mahmudov (3', 89'), Dadasov (6')
Seydayev (29'), Mahammadaliyev (72'), Krivotsyuk (90+2')
Mustafazada (57')
Seydayev (29'), Mahammadaliyev (72'), Krivotsyuk (90+2')
Mustafazada (57')
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sweden
5-0
Azerbaijan
