MX23RW : Wednesday, December 4 09:18:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
4 - 0
Newport

Tshimanga (4'), Glatzel (18'), Baker (21' og.), Cotterill (45')
Kilkenny (56')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-4 Port Vale
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
41.88% (0.205 0.2) 25.55% (-0.012 -0.01) 32.56% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)48.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.96% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.099999999999994 0.1)23.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.147 0.15)57.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.125 -0.13)28.41% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (-0.155 -0.16)64.16% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.88%
    Newport County 32.56%
    Draw 25.55%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.56%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 31
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Evans (53'), Palmer-Houlden (74')
McLoughlin (3'), Bennett (39')
Glatzel (46')
Kokolo (51'), Devoy (72'), Bycroft (75'), Khan (77')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Swindon
2-0
Newport
Kemp (8'), Hepburn-Murphy (82')
Brewitt (36')
Feb 4, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 30
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Adeloye (90+1')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1810532618835
2Walsall17104333191434
3MK Dons1793530191130
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
6Notts County187742518728
7Grimsby Town189182428-428
8AFC Wimbledon1783627161127
9Chesterfield186753023725
10Bradford CityBradford176652218424
11Salford City176651718-124
12Gillingham167271714323
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham186482326-322
16Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
17Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
18Harrogate TownHarrogate186391625-921
19Accrington StanleyAccrington174672431-718
20Tranmere RoversTranmere174671222-1018
21Bromley163851921-217
22Morecambe1835101931-1214
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
24Swindon TownSwindon182792032-1213


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